【Osaka】A Timeline of Osaka Tower Condos and Redevelopment from 2025 Onward! Will Condo Prices Continue to Rise?! 【Sugoroku】

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*This blog article was originally written in Japanese and has been translated by AI. From the Sumulab Editorial Team

Hello!
Hard to believe 2024 is already coming to a close!
Yesterday was my last day of work for the year, so I’m taking this opportunity to quickly write one post!

There’s a lot to reflect on this year—like how my own condo situation stands—but I’ll wrap that up before year’s end. For today, I’d like to summarize a timeline of tower condo projects in Osaka from 2025 onwards. I’m guessing folks not only in Osaka but also around the Kansai area (and perhaps nationwide) are following these developments closely.

Ideally, I’d like to include diagrams as well, but since there’s so much else I’d like to talk about, I might opt for something a bit more concise. Thank you for your understanding.

Here’s what you can expect to take away from this post:

Which areas in Osaka will see future growth, and where are condo values likely to rise?
When to buy and when to sell, for both new-build and pre-owned tower condos
Why Osaka tower condos are still worth getting excited about!

Osaka has showcased plenty of gorgeous new-build condos up through 2024, but personally, I’m pumped about all the tower condos coming in 2025 and beyond—putting price aside, they look really exciting. Let’s get right into it!

物件概要

資料請求

1 A Timeline of Tower Condos (2025–2031) — An Overview
2 Tower Condos Completing in 2025
3 Tower Condos Completing in 2026
4 Tower Condos Completing in 2027
5 Tower Condos Completing in 2028
6 Tower Condos Completing from 2029 Onward
7 Tower Condos with Unclear Completion Dates
8 New Tower Condo Supply By Area
9 【Announcement 1】Sugoroku LINE Official Account
10 【Announcement 2】Sumu-Lab Consultation Counter

A Timeline of Tower Condos (2025–2031) — An Overview

I’ve put together a timeline of future Osaka tower condos from 2025 onward based on move-in dates (rather than completion dates). But do keep in mind that timelines may shift for projects several years away, and some of what I share here is educated speculation.

If you have info on any future tower condo projects not listed here—“Hey, there’s a tower going up at such-and-such location!”—I’d love to hear it!!

Anyway, let’s look at the big picture first.

Upcoming Osaka New-Build Tower Condos At-A-Glance

From 2025 to around 2031, about 28 new tower condos are scheduled to go up in Osaka.

Some of these projects have established dates, like the Nakanoshima 5-Chome project slated to complete around 2031 (which is six years away!). Others are somewhat vague—there’s talk circulating, but nothing certain—but I’ve included them if the prospect is strong enough. As a result, the exact numbers might shift a little, but it looks like we’ll see around four to five new tower condos completed every year.

I’ll go through specific highlights and promising developments for each year shortly, but before that: which year’s condos are you targeting?

Below, I’ve also included some major Osaka redevelopment projects and events to keep an eye on.

On the events timeline, 2025 is huge, with the grand opening of the southern wing of Grand Green Osaka and the Osaka-Kansai Expo (World Expo 2025). Those will likely impact real estate prices.
Then in 2027, we’ll see the full opening of Grand Green Osaka, followed by the opening of the Nakanoshima 5-Chome redevelopment and Japan’s first IR (integrated resort) in 2030, and the opening of the Naniwasuji Line in 2031—every two to three years, there’s a “big event” that could influence property values.

*Click on images to enlarge.
*Updated December 29, 2024, for some entries.

Some of these dates are forecasts, so actual completion times may vary

New Condo Supply Is on the Decline?!

We’ll have four or five new tower condos completed and move-in ready each year, but that figure has been decreasing every year. Consequently, new condo prices keep skyrocketing, yet units still go to lottery (and often require multiple attempts to get selected). Meanwhile, developers keep raising prices for later sales phases, turning new condos into something of a “luxury product.”

Over these past two years, I’ve personally entered more than 10 lotteries and lost every time. If developers didn’t do such significant price hikes after the first sales phase, I might have kept trying for a subsequent phase—like with Grand Green Osaka—but many projects have increased prices so much that I ended up bowing out.

On top of that, we have a whole bunch of investors and semi-pro purchasers now, making it extra tough to hit the lottery. Developers, too, see that demand and keep hiking prices. Especially for those looking to buy a home for personal use, the price increases this year have been painful…

Looking at the actual supply: the number of new-build condos in Osaka Prefecture decreased by about 20% in the past year. (Data is through 2023, not 2024. For 2025, we’re expecting about the same as 2024.)

And while supply is dropping, prices per tsubo for new condos just keep rising, making it even harder to buy, and competition for top-tier properties is fierce. For owner-occupiers, if you only chase the most popular buildings, it might be time to tweak your strategy—like considering multiple developments in parallel or widening your geographic focus.

From Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Real Estate’s website. Kyoto’s price growth is astounding…

Because the new-build situation is so intense, we’re seeing a surge in pre-owned condo listings. In the past year alone, supply has jumped by nearly 20%, meaning many people are pivoting from new builds to existing condos.

However, a key point when looking at used properties:

“Don’t chase only ‘cheap’ or ‘urgent’ used-condo listings.”

Sure, it’d be great to get a bargain, but the truth is that truly good deals:

Either get snapped up by a brokerage firm that buys it themselves and then resells later at a higher price
Or are bought quickly for cash by investors or real estate agencies

…which means normal individual buyers rarely get a chance.

That said, you don’t need to buy a clearly overpriced unit either. Properties sold at fair-market or “average” prices can be well worth buying. If you’re looking at used condos, I recommend keeping this mindset in mind.

If you still want to target the best deals or must-sell properties, there are ways to improve your odds—feel free to consult me for specifics if you’re looking to buy a used condo.

From Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Real Estate’s website

Market Forecast for 2025

Real Estate Economic Institute recently published some news I’d like to highlight:

The number of newly supplied units in 2025 will be about the same as in 2024
Due to price spikes in urban centers, supply in those areas will drop, but suburban family-oriented developments will rise
Tower condos in central locations will keep selling well, so expect mid-sale price hikes (once again, phase one is likely the cheapest for 2025, too)

From Real Estate Economic Institute news

Tower Condos Completing in 2025

Let’s break down each year from 2025 to 2031, focusing on noteworthy tower condo projects.
Starting with the tower condos set to finish next year (2025). These are probably all names you’ve heard, and notably, none of them are fully sold out yet. (Though Geo Tower Sakaisuji honmachi（ジオタワー堺筋本町） might be close?!)

Per the Real Estate Economic Institute’s news, many developers are prolonging sales by raising prices with each phase or stopping sales mid-way because they’re selling well, deliberately avoiding total sell-out for now.
(Still, only a few units remain, so if you’re interested, it’s best to request materials and visit the model room ASAP.)

I’ve had a chance to see both common areas and private units of Brillia Tower Minoh-Semba（ブリリアタワー箕面船場） , and I was really impressed. A few brand-new, unoccupied units have hit the market, so I expect they’ll start selling once prospective buyers can view them in person. Meanwhile, sales for W Towers (a fixed-term leasehold property) haven’t been as strong as anticipated, so I suspect the freehold Brillia Tower Minoh-Senba might gain popularity.

I’m also curious about the timing and pricing when sales resume for The Parkhouse Osaka Umeda Tower（ザ・パークハウス大阪梅田タワー）, which is near Grand Green Osaka（グラングリーン大阪）. That could have a ripple effect on those “three towers” directly connected to Nakatsu Station.

In 2025, we have two huge events: the opening of the southern wing of Grand Green Osaka, and the Osaka-Kansai Expo 2025. I expect Umeda will see more office workers and residents, plus inbound tourism effects from the Expo, which should keep pushing up prices for high-end properties in the Umeda area.

If you already own real estate, 2025 might be a strategic time to sell.

Regarding Naniwanomiya Ato Park’s renewal, while it may not be the biggest deal at the macro “Osaka city” level, it’ll bring more energy to the Uemachi and Tanimachi 4-chome areas. Those spots are already popular, but I see them upgrading even further.
(Cielia Osaka Uemachidai Park Tower rarely hits the resale market, but I expect its north-facing views might become even more desirable.)

Brillia Tower Minoh-Semba(ブリリアタワー箕面船場)
Geo Tower Shinmachi(ジオタワー新町)
Geo Tower Sakaisuji-Honmachi(ジオタワー堺筋本町)
The Parkhouse Osaka Umeda Tower(ザ・パークハウス大阪梅田タワー)

Tower Condos Completing in 2026

2026 has a lot of highlights!

Grand Green Osaka THE NORTH RESIDENCE, which made waves for its record-high 2.5-billion-yen top-floor unit (≈25億円) in Osaka, sold out incredibly fast. It feels like only yesterday… I’m still so bummed about losing the lottery on that one. It’s crazy that the 2025 tower condos aren’t sold out yet, but the 2026 Grand Green Osaka tower is already done! (lol)

Meanwhile, Cielia Tower Nakanoshima(シエリアタワー中之島) keeps seeing major price hikes with each round of sales, even though it’s a fixed-term leasehold property. I’m curious how it will affect the broader used market in Nakanoshima once it’s completed.

The ParkHouse Shinsaibashi Tower(ザ・パークハウス心斎橋タワー) was super expensive at phase one, yet it still had a bunch of lottery units. Phase two starts February 2025, so if you’re keen, enter early!

Other complexes like Geo Tower Osaka Juso(ジオタワー大阪十三) and W towers Minoh-Senma(Wタワーズ箕面船場) are both large-scale developments with great shared facilities, but because they’re both leasehold, quite a few units remain available on a first-come-first-served basis. Still, if you don’t mind not owning the land, the upside is that anyone can theoretically purchase them new. (Note that Geo Tower Osaka Juso saw a slowdown after some units rose by over 10 million yen from phase one. Meanwhile, Cielia Tower Nakanoshima keeps selling despite similarly big hikes, probably because Nakanoshima is that hot right now.)

Looking at the 2026 group, Cielia Tower Nakanoshima and Grand Green Osaka THE NORTH RESIDENCE will likely see a fair number of resales upon completion, which might boost prices for used condos in the greater Nakanoshima and Umeda neighborhoods.

Hence:

If you’re looking to buy in the Umeda or Nakanoshima area, it might be best to snap up a used condo soon.
If you already own a tower condo in Umeda or Nakanoshima and are thinking of selling, it may be wise to list it around the time these projects finish—similar to 2025, it should be a favorable market to sell.

Selling timing depends on considerations like short-term vs. long-term capital gains, or whether to use the 30-million-yen tax exemption. If you’re planning to sell, feel free to consult me.

As for other major redevelopments in 2026, there’s no big headline to note. But with these top-tier tower condos finalizing around Umeda, it’ll likely keep pushing the local market upward.

Tower Condos Completing in 2027

Even though it’s just two years away, some developments have begun sales while others haven’t even started.

Among those already selling is パークタワー大阪堂島浜. I’ve written about it many times. Despite multiple price hikes, it remains so popular that units go to lottery. Next sales phase will include the high floors above the hotel portion, which will likely boost interest further.
On the other hand, Brillia Tower Dojima’s resale market was sluggish, but lately, we’re seeing an uptick in sales, trailing behind Park Tower Osaka Dojimahama’s price hikes.

Among the projects yet to start sales is ブランズタワー大阪梅田, which is doing a limited “under-the-radar” sale in January 2025 and then a general first-phase sale from April. It’s already rumored to have crazy-high lottery competition, so who knows…
If we look at the Nakazakicho area, sales of Park Tower Umeda units have been increasing, and contract prices there are creeping up. If you’re considering a resale in that area, it might be worth taking a second look at Park Tower Umeda or City Tower Higashi-Umeda Park Front, even though City Tower Umeda Higashi has soared quite a bit.

As for Premist Tower Senrioka（プレミストタワー千里丘）, prices are high, but if you skip the very top floors, you can still get a big corner unit in the higher levels at a more realistic price relative to Osaka City towers. You can go from the condo to the station and on to Osaka Station via a covered deck—no need for an umbrella. I think it’ll be popular. I’ve personally shown interest, but I’m still on the fence.

City Tower Furukawabashi（シティタワー古川橋） looks like typical Sumitomo Realty style, but boy is it expensive (lol). I’m hoping for a price cut, because at current prices, Park Homes LaLa Kadoma, directly connected to LaLaport, is half that, for the same floor plan. It might be a way better buy.

LaLa Kadoma no longer has 3LDKs under 40 million yen, but City Tower Furukawabashi’s prices might indirectly boost LaLa Kadoma even more.

In terms of major redevelopment, 2027 is when Grand Green Osaka fully opens. That could further raise condo prices around Umeda, Nakatsu, Fukushima, and Oyodo. It seems like both buyers and sellers will again want to time their moves around this milestone.

Tower Condos Completing in 2028

As of now, the only project with a finished homepage is Regnas Tower Shinumeda(レグナスタワー新梅田), near JR Fukushima Station (3-minute walk). But Park Tower Osaka Temmabashi (temporary name) has had press releases, so its official site might be up soon, too.

Priority previews for Regnas Tower Shin-Umeda(レグナスタワー新梅田) are scheduled for June 2025, so we’ll soon see pricing. That could push up prices for nearby towers like Laurel Tower Umeda West（ローレルタワー梅田ウエスト） and City Tower Nishi-Umeda（シティタワー西梅田）, as well as maybe Grand Maison Shin-Umeda Tower（グランドメゾン新梅田）. (Cielia Tower Osaka Fukushima（シエリアタワー大阪福島） has had some resale units struggling, so this might help them out.) If you’re looking to sell in that vicinity, after June 2025 might be a good window.

The other tower condos have construction signboards up, so I suspect we’ll get more details in late 2025 and sales will likely begin in 2026.

Of course, the real highlight is Grand Green Osaka THE SOUTH RESIDENCE（グランドグリーン THE SOUTH RESIDENCE）. Will it raise Umeda condo prices even further, or are prices maxed out from the completion of Grand Green Osaka THE NORTH RESIDENCE(グランドグリーン THE NORTH RESIDENCE) and the full opening of Grand Green? Who can say. But I’m definitely entering the lottery and hoping to finally score a win this time…

Regnas Tower Shinumeda(レグナスタワー新梅田)

Tower Condos Completing from 2029 Onward

We’re talking four years down the road, so information is still sparse, but we do have some interesting tidbits already.

Most notably, there’s the Nakanoshima 5-Chome Tower project. It’ll be the first condo in Osaka to exceed 1,000 units, part of a broader site plan combining offices and commercial space, and it’s right next to the new Nakanoshima Station on the Naniwasuji Line (opening 2031). (The school district is the popular Nakanoshima combined elementary and junior high!)

By the time Nakanoshima 5-Chome is finished, The Parkhouse Nakanoshima Tower（ザ・パークハウス中之島タワー） will be around 13 years old, so I expect a flood of resale listings there. Even though it’ll be a decade old by then, prices might still soar because of this big redevelopment, so if you’re aiming for Nakanoshima, 2025 might be your best chance to buy “cheap.”

Then we’ve got the newly revealed Geo Tower Osaka Fukushima (tentative name　ジオタワー大阪福島). It’s a large 51-story tower, which should again push up used condo prices in that area. The rumored pricing is well below what we’ll see at Nakanoshima 5-Chome, but still quite a bit above current used properties in Fukushima. So if you’re eyeing the popular Fukushima or Noda areas, maybe now’s the time…

Looking at redevelopment news for 2030, that’s when Japan’s first IR in Osaka opens! It’ll be a world-class facility worthy of VIP visitors from across the globe, bringing a lot of attention to Osaka properties. I suspect high-end tower condos with great views (especially on upper floors) will see more inbound demand.

Meanwhile, we haven’t mentioned Bentencho or Cosmo Square, but with IR opening in Yumeshima, maybe those areas will see some movement. (Same with Honmachi, possibly.) The main transport will be the Osaka Metro Chuo Line, which runs just one station away from Cosmo Square, or four stations from Bentencho. We’re talking a lot of staff needed for the IR—hotels, entertainment, commercial, casino, etc.—so that could bring some big demand. Whether that affects purchase prices or just rents remains to be seen, but it might finally shine a spotlight on “Osaka Bayfront.”

~Some Stats on the Osaka IR~

Total Casino Operator Investment: 1.2 trillion yen
Annual Visitors: ~20 million
Annual Economic Ripple Effect: 760 billion yen
Annual Job Creation: 88,000 jobs
Unlike the Expo, this will be a near-permanent fixture

Tower Condos with Unclear Completion Dates

The following are tower condos that seem likely but lack any firm completion date or official details.

A few years ago, we thought “A tower condo directly connected to Tanimachi 4-chome Station might be over 4 million yen per tsubo—so expensive!” But given today’s market, it may well go even higher…

Should Kanden decide to do a Cielia Tower in Dojimahama, that’ll impact Brillia Tower Dojima（ブリリアタワー堂島）and ParkTower Osaka Dojimahama’s（パークタワー大阪堂島浜） prices. If a tower goes up on the old Meriyasu Kaikan site, that’ll affect The Parkhouse Nakanoshima Tower（ザ・パークハウス中之島）, too. Either way, it’s safe to say that buying a used unit in any of these areas before an official announcement is cheaper than waiting until after the new tower hits the market.

New Tower Condo Supply By Area

Let’s look at the new tower condos we’ve mentioned, area by area!
*Click images to enlarge.
**Updated December 29, 2024, in some places.

Look at how many new towers are lined up for Kita Ward…

…Kita Ward is overwhelmingly on top!!

One factor that drives price increases is “an area that has more towers planned for the future.” Based on this data, it’s hard to imagine values in Kita Ward dropping.
Plus, while there are some large-scale developments, we’re also seeing many smaller tower buildings. That should boost the value of existing large-scale, landmark towers. So yes, used tower-condo prices are already high, but as long as you avoid buying something obviously subpar or overpriced, I doubt prices will collapse.

Chuo Ward also has a lot of upcoming supply, but it underwent a massive wave of more than 10 new tower condos a few years back. Now that the market’s matured, new developments there face more challenges. Meanwhile, in Fukushima Ward, there’s a wave of new towers coming, so if you’re looking at existing properties there, now might be the time to pounce.
(In Chuo Ward, City Tower Osaka Honmachi is king and will likely reign for a while…)

One area I’m keeping a close eye on is Nishi Ward.

There’s a super-popular project, Grand Maison Kitahorie Residence, but it’s not a tower (so I omitted it). That aside, once Geo Tower Shinmachi（ジオタワー新町） (2025) is finished, there aren’t really any known plans for more towers in Nishi Ward.
They do have The Sanctus Tower（ザ・サンクタス/ワー）, Premist Tower Utsubo-Honmachi（プレミストタワー靱本町）, and so on, and with the Naniwasuji Line’s Nishihommachi Station opening, it’d be great to see another big tower plan. (Please let me know if you hear any buzz!)

Overall, while tower condo plans exist across Osaka City, Kita Ward is definitely commanding the spotlight—especially with Grand Green Osaka. How will new and used condo prices evolve in and around Osaka after 2025? Let’s keep watching!

That’s all for this post. Stay tuned for the next one!

物件概要

資料請求

【Announcement 1】Sugoroku LINE Official Account

On this LINE official account, I post deals or interesting used condos I find through my daily research.
While I mainly blog about new-build condos, recent price surges plus growing consultations about used units—both free and paid—mean I’m covering both new-build and used properties.

If there’s a used condo you’re interested in, feel free to consult me via LINE. I’ll respond quickly, so I’d really appreciate it if you’d register and add me as a friend!

☆Click here to add me as a friend☆

【Announcement 2】Sumu-Lab Consultation Counter

If you need advice about new or used condos in Osaka Prefecture, I’m here to help.
I can also give pointers on selling, based on my own experiences, so don’t hesitate to reach out!

https://www.sumu-lab.com/consultation/

I hope you’ll check out my next blog post, too!

I also share condo info and more on Twitter. Please follow me!
Sugoroku Twitter

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[スムラボ編集部より] 本ブログ記事の情報は投稿日時点のものです。現在の販売情報はLifull Homesをご参照下さい。